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Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 studyopen access

Authors
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region HIV/AIDS CollaboratorsMokdad, Ali H.El Bcheraoui, CharbelWang, HaidongCharara, RaghidKhalil, IbrahimMoradi-Lakeh, MaziarAfshin, AshkanCollison, MichaelDaoud, FarahChew, AdrienneKrohn, Kristopher J.Carter, AustinForeman, Kyle J.He, FeiKassebaum, Nicholas J.Kutz, MichaelMirarefin, MojdeNguyen, GrantSilpakit, NarisSligar, AmberAbajobir, Amanuel AlemuAbate, Kalkidan HassenAbbas, Kaja M.Abd-Allah, FoadAbera, Semaw FeredeAdane, KelemeworkAgarwal, ArnavKiadaliri, Aliasghar AhmadAhmadi, AlirezaAhmed, Muktar BeshirAl Lami, Faris HasanAlam, KhurshidAlasfoor, DeenaAlizadeh-Navaei, RezaAl-Maskari, FatmaAl-Raddadi, RajaaAltirkawi, Khalid A.Alvis-Guzman, NelsonAmmar, WalidAnber, NahlaAntonio, Carl Abelardo T.Anwari, PalwashaAsayesh, HamidAsghar, Rana JawadAtey, Tesfay MehariAvokpaho, Euripide Frinel G. ArthurAyele, Tadesse AwokeAzzopardi, PeterBacha, UmarBarac, AleksandraBaernighausen, TillBazargan-Hejazi, ShahrzadGeffen, DavidBedi, NeerajBensenor, Isabela M.Berhane, AdugnawBessong, Pascal ObongBeyene, Addisu ShunuBhutta, Zulfiqar A.Birungi, CharlesButt, Zahid A.Cahuana-Hurtado, LuceroDanawi, Hadidas Neves, JoseDeribe, KebedeDeribew, AmareJarlais, Don C. DesDharmaratne, Samath D.Djalalinia, ShirinDoyle, Kerrie E.Endries, Aman YesufEshrati, BabakFaraon, Emerito Jose AquinoFarvid, Maryam S.Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-MohammadFeyissa, Tesfaye RegassaFischer, FlorianGarcia-Basteiro, Alberto L.Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye TeweldeGesesew, Hailay AbrhaGishu, Melkamu DedefoGlaser, ElizabethGona, Philimon N.Gugnani, Harish ChanderGupta, RahulBidgoli, Hassan HaghparastHailu, Gessessew BugssaHamadeh, Randah RibhiHambisa, Mitiku TeshomeHamidi, SamerHarb, Hilda L.Hareri, Habtamu AberaHorita, NobuyukiHusseini, AbdullatifIbrahim, AhmedJames, Spencer LewisJonas, Jost B.Kasaeian, AmirKassaw, Nigussie AssefaKhader, Yousef SalehKhan, Ejaz AhmadKhan, GulfarazKhoja, Abdullah Tawfih AbdullahKhubchandani, JagdishKim, Yun JinKoyanagi, AiDefo, Barthelemy KuateLarson, Heidi J.Latif, Asma AbdulLeshargie, Cheru TesemaLunevicius, RaimundasAbd El Razek, Mohammed MagdyMajdzadeh, RezaMajeed, AzeemMalekzadeh, RezaManyazewal, TsegahunMarkos, DesalegnFarid, Habibolah MasoudiMehari, AlemMekonnen, Alemayehu B.Memiah, PeterMemish, Ziad A.Mendoza, WalterMengesha, Melkamu MeridMengistu, Desalegn TadeseMezgebe, Haftay BerhaneMhimbira, Francis ApolinaryMiller, Ted R.Moore, Ami R.Mumtaz, Ghina R.Natarajan, GopalakrishnanNegin, JoelObermeyer, Carla MakhloufOgbo, Felix AkpojeneOh, In-HwanOta, ErikaPereira, David M.Pourmalek, FarshadQorbani, MostafaRadfar, AmirRafay, AnwarRahimi-Movaghar, VafaRai, Rajesh KumarRam, UshaRawaf, David LaithRawaf, SalmanRenzaho, Andre M. N.Rezaei, SatarRezai, Mohammad SadeghRoba, Hirbo ShoreRoshandel, GholamrezaSafdarian, MahdiSafiri, SaeidSahraian, Mohammad AliSalamati, PaymanSamy, Abdallah M.Sartorius, BennSepanlou, Sadaf G.Shaikh, Masood AliShamsizadeh, MortezaSibamo, Ephrem Lejore SibamoSingh, Jasvinder A.Sobaih, Badr H. A.Soshnikov, SergeySufiyan, Muawiyyah BabaleSykes, Bryan L.Taveira, NunoTegegne, Teketo KassawTehrani-Banihashemi, ArashTekelab, TesfalidetShifa, Girma TemamTemsah, Mohamad-HaniTesssema, BelayTopor-Madry, RomanUkwaja, Kingsley NnannaUthman, Olalekan A.Vollset, Stein EmilWadilo, FisehaWakayo, TolassaAlebachew, MinyahilWorkicho, AbdulhalikWorkie, Shimelash BitewYaghoubi, MohsenYalew, Ayalnesh ZemeneYimam, Hassen HamidYonemoto, NaohiroYoon, Seok-JunYotebieng, MarcelYounis, Mustafa Z.Zaki, Maysaa El SayedJumaan, Aisha O.Vos, TheoHay, Simon I.Naghavi, MohsenMurray, Christopher J. L.
Issue Date
May-2018
Publisher
Birkhauser Verlag
Keywords
HIV; HIV mortality; Eastern Mediterranean Region; Burden of disease
Citation
International Journal of Public Health, v.63, no.S1, pp 123 - 136
Pages
14
Indexed
SCIE
SSCI
SCOPUS
Journal Title
International Journal of Public Health
Volume
63
Number
S1
Start Page
123
End Page
136
URI
https://scholarworks.korea.ac.kr/kumedicine/handle/2020.sw.kumedicine/3619
DOI
10.1007/s00038-017-1023-0
ISSN
1661-8556
1661-8564
Abstract
Objectives We used the results of the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study to estimate trends of HIV/AIDS burden in Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries between 1990 and 2015. Methods Tailored estimation methods were used to produce final estimates of mortality. Years of life lost (YLLs) were calculated by multiplying the mortality rate by population by age-specific life expectancy. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were computed as the prevalence of a sequela multiplied by its disability weight. Results In 2015, the rate of HIV/AIDS deaths in the EMR was 1.8 (1.4–2.5) per 100,000 population, a 43% increase from 1990 (0.3; 0.2–0.8). Consequently, the rate of YLLs due to HIV/AIDS increased from 15.3 (7.6–36.2) per 100,000 in 1990 to 81.9 (65.3–114.4) in 2015. The rate of YLDs increased from 1.3 (0.6–3.1) in 1990 to 4.4 (2.7–6.6) in 2015. Conclusions HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality increased in the EMR since 1990. To reverse this trend and achieve epidemic control, EMR countries should strengthen HIV surveillance, and scale up HIV antiretroviral therapy and comprehensive prevention services.
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